Gold prices surged to a fresh record high on Monday, April 21, while the dollar weakened and global stock markets presented a mixed picture, as concerns mounted over former President Donald Trump’s escalating tariff strategy and his ongoing confrontation with the Federal Reserve.
Amid subdued activity due to continued Easter holiday closures in several markets, investors focused on the potential fallout from Trump’s latest trade moves and looked ahead to key economic data releases later this week that may shed light on the broader impact of the evolving U.S.-led trade war.
The administration’s tariff campaign has triggered swift responses from major economies. While some, like Japan, are reportedly seeking accommodations to ease Washington’s trade levies, China issued a sharp warning to governments not to negotiate at the expense of its interests.
A spokesperson for China’s commerce ministry said Monday that appeasement and compromise would fail to win peace or respect, calling on nations to avoid sacrificing broader interests for temporary gains.
Beijing’s tone contrasted with Trump’s comments last Thursday in which he signaled ongoing discussions with China, expressing optimism about reaching a deal.
However, tensions remain high, with China facing tariffs of up to 145 percent on some goods and retaliating with duties of 125 percent on U.S. exports.
The growing uncertainty over the global economic outlook has driven investors toward safe haven assets. Gold climbed above $3,384 per ounce, buoyed both by the geopolitical instability and a weakening U.S. dollar. The dollar’s decline has been exacerbated by concerns over Trump’s comments directed at Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who warned that the tariffs could lead to a temporary rise in inflation and downplayed prospects for interest rate cuts.
Trump criticized Powell for his remarks and hinted at the possibility of removing him from office, stating: “If I want him out, he’ll be out of there real fast, believe me.” Powell has maintained that he will not step down and emphasized the legal foundation of the central bank’s independence.
The dollar fell against major currencies, with the yen and euro gaining strength. France’s finance minister Eric Lombard said Trump’s tariff policies had already damaged the credibility of the U.S. currency and warned that undermining the Federal Reserve would further shake investor confidence. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee underscored the importance of central bank independence, calling it a near-universal principle among economists.
Asian stock markets reflected the uncertainty, with Tokyo’s Nikkei falling 1.2 percent, while gains were seen in Shanghai, Seoul, Singapore, Manila, and Jakarta. Oil prices declined amid renewed fears over global demand, with West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude both dropping 1.7 percent.
Investors are now watching closely for April manufacturing data from key economies, which are expected to provide early signals about the tangible effects of the tariffs.
Analysts warn that U.S. fiscal and monetary policy are increasingly being viewed as volatile geopolitical forces rather than stable economic anchors.
Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said the reputational damage to the U.S. economic brand is becoming entrenched, with global markets and allies adjusting expectations accordingly.
